A J-League Treat?
POSTED: 17 July 2014
So the World Cup is over and Germany are the new World Champions. To be fair they deserved it all things considered, however you have to feel a bit sorry for Argentina considering after the extra-time winner was the only time they were behind during the tournament.
Credit has to be given for Germany to be the first European side to win the tournament when held in South America and the way they destroyed hosts Brazil 7-1 is a feat I doubt we’ll see again in our lifetime.
Talking of Brazil, well they let me down in my pick last week – I note Luiz Felipe Scolari resigned as manager straight after, well that’s no shock to me as he’d have no doubt been fired anyway!
So onto this week and I note all manner of friendlies for European teams which to me are non-betting entities unless you see team news before the bookies and can gain an advantage pricewise. So as I’m writing too early to know the starting squads/formation, that’s out of the equation.
Looking at the football this weekend I’d say the most realistic opportunities come from the Chinese Super League or the Japanese J-League – I’m picking the J-League.
I note that Tokushima Vortis who sit bottom of the table have only scored 3 goals in their 14 games, or looking at it another way in 11 games they’ve not scored. They’re away this week to Nagoya Grampus who come into the game after a 12-0 win in the Emperor Cup. Nagoya I’d say are a sure bet to win this game, but at 1.33 you’d have to have a big bet for a reasonable return.
My pick of the weekend is in the Kashiwa Reysol v Vegalta Sendai game, where I believe Kashiya at 2.1 are a good bet. Kashiya sit 6th in the table to Vegalta 12th and I note that until recently Vegalta had been in the relegation zone for the majority of the season. Although to be fair only 5 points separate the relegation zone to the top half of the table as it’s quite tight.
My thought process is that Kashiwa’s home form is impressive in that they’ve only lost the once in the 8 games. While Vegalta are struggling to score on their travels, just 4 goals in 7 games. So when I see these sort of stats and see a home side priced more than 2.0, well it works for me.
Pick Kashiwa Reyson v Vegalta Sendai – Kashiwa to win @ 2.1