Bringin' It All Back Home

POSTED: 11 March 2011

Bringin' It All Back Home

No question, there’s an advantage to being the home team. The actual causes for this advantage can go from the familiarity of the field, to the thousands-strong crowd support. Whatever it is, it’s safe to say that having home advantage can increase the chances of victory.

And this could be considered a major factor in the upcoming Werder Bremen – Borussia Monchengladbach fixture. A head-to-head comparison shows an interesting trend: in 10 games between the 2 sides, there was 1 recent away win (Bremen), 2 draws, and a total of 7 home wins (5 for Bremen, 3 for Monchengladbach).

However, from my chair here, either side’s individual statistics aren’t impressive. Bremen currently place 14th, 2 away from the drop zone. Although coming away from a recent 3-1 win against Freiburg, that victory comes after 6 winless games. Their total record is an unthreatening 7 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses.

Monchengladbach isn’t much better; in fact they’re much worse, carrying the shame of being in the red zone at 18th place. Their recent 5-game record shows 2 wins and 3 losses (2 of them consecutive). Their total record is a dismal 6-4-15.

They are four points away from relegation safety, giving you an idea of the desperation for a win.

In a matchup like this it’s easy to go with the trend and place your money on whichever the home team is. It would be wiser, however, to also consider each side’s current form. In this case, Bremen wins on both conditions.

Verdict: Home win