POSTED: 24 May, 2013
A Spectacular Affair?
Back to winning ways last week with the double of Arsenal and Spurs both winning, I was surprised both sides only won 1-0 considering they were fighting it out for the final Champions League spot for next season. Regardless win they did, which gave the winning double and thankfully some beer tokens to wave goodbye to the EPL for another season.
With the Champions League in mind, we don’t need any reminding that it’s the final between Dortmund and Bayern at Wembley this weekend. Looking at the game it’s safe to say why the bookies make Bayern favourites. Domestically they’ve won the league by some margin, while in Europe they were last year’s runners up and are in their 10th final of the tournament after previously lifting the famous trophy 4 times. Plus we cannot forget that smashed Barcelona 7-0 over the two-legs of the semis.
But those who write Dortmund off do so at their peril, in comparison to Bayern it may be only their second final but they did beat Juventus in their only other appearance when also underdogs. Plus their semi-final aggregate win over Real Madrid will prove they’re no back numbers. More so when you look that The FA Cup and Spanish Cup finals have seen the underdogs win, simply speaking in a one-off game anything can happen and both sides are in the final on merit.
So what’s my bet going to be? I’m staying away from picking a side to win as I just can’t call it and don’t see a ‘value’ bet either way. Although Dortmund at 5.8 is a little tempting over the 90minutes.
So looking at the stats, they played recently and fought out a 1-1 draw – and it literally was a fight in that it was a very ‘scrappy’ affair. The last three games between the two sides have all been under the goals – so is that a positive sign considering many finals are tight affairs early doors?
It may well be, but my gut feeling is there will be goals – I can’t help think both sides have too much attacking talent, hell just look at the semis when either of them scored four goals in one game against Barca and Madrid respectively.
So I’m going into the game as a neutral hoping to see a spectacle for the final, with both teams scoring and end to end action. May the best side win……as long as there are goals mind!
Pick - Champions League Final – Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75